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    Author response: Carbon recovery dynamics following disturbance by selective logging in Amazonian forests
    (2016) Camille Piponiot; Plínio Sist; Lucas Mazzei; Marielos Peña‐Claros; Francis E. Putz; Ervan Rutishauser; Alexander Shenkin; Nataly Ascarrunz; C. P. de Azevedo; Christopher Baraloto
    Full text Figures and data Side by side Abstract eLife digest Introduction Results Discussion Materials and methods Appendix Data availability References Decision letter Author response Article and author information Metrics Abstract When 2 Mha of Amazonian forests are disturbed by selective logging each year, more than 90 Tg of carbon (C) is emitted to the atmosphere. Emissions are then counterbalanced by forest regrowth. With an original modelling approach, calibrated on a network of 133 permanent forest plots (175 ha total) across Amazonia, we link regional differences in climate, soil and initial biomass with survivors’ and recruits’ C fluxes to provide Amazon-wide predictions of post-logging C recovery. We show that net aboveground C recovery over 10 years is higher in the Guiana Shield and in the west (21 ±3 Mg C ha-1) than in the south (12 ±3 Mg C ha-1) where environmental stress is high (low rainfall, high seasonality). We highlight the key role of survivors in the forest regrowth and elaborate a comprehensive map of post-disturbance C recovery potential in Amazonia. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.001 eLife digest The Amazon rainforest in South America is the largest tropical forest in the world. Along with being home to a huge variety of plants and wildlife, rainforests also play an important role in storing an element called carbon, which is a core component of all life on Earth. Certain forms of carbon, such as the gas carbon dioxide, contribute to climate change so researchers want to understand what factors affect how much carbon is stored in rainforests. Trees and other plants absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and then incorporate the carbon into carbohydrates and other biological molecules. The Amazon rainforest alone holds around 30% of the total carbon stored in land-based ecosystems. Humans selectively harvest certain species of tree that produce wood with commercial value from the Amazon rainforest. This “selective logging” results in the loss of stored carbon from the rainforest, but the loss can be compensated for in the medium to long term if the forest is left to regrow. New trees and trees that survived the logging grow to fill the gaps left by the felled trees. However, it is not clear how differences in the forest (for example, forest maturity), environmental factors (such as climate or soil) and the degree of the disturbance caused by the logging affect the ability of the forest ecosystem to recover the lost carbon. Piponiot et al. used computer modeling to analyze data from over a hundred different forest plots across the Amazon rainforest. The models show that the forest’s ability to recover carbon after selective logging greatly differs between regions. For example, the overall amount of carbon recovered in the first ten years is predicted to be higher in a region in the north known as the Guiana Shield than in the south of the Amazonian basin where the climate is less favorable. The findings of Piponiot et al. highlight the key role the trees that survive selective logging play in carbon recovery. The next step would be to couple this model to historical maps of logging to estimate how the areas of the rainforest that are managed by selective logging shape the overall carbon balance of the Amazon rainforest. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.002 Introduction With on-going climate change, attention is increasingly drawn to the impacts of human activities on carbon (C) cycles (Griggs and Noguer, 2002), and in particular to the 2.1 ± 1.1 Pg C yr-1 of C loss caused by various forms and intensities of anthropogenic disturbances in tropical forests (Grace et al., 2014). Among those disturbances, selective logging, i.e. the selective harvest of a few merchantable tree species, is particularly widespread: in the Brazilian Amazon alone, about 2 Mha yr−1 were logged in 1999–2002 (Asner et al., 2005). The extent of selective logging in the Brasilian Amazon was equivalent to annual deforestation in the same period, and resulted in C emissions of 90 Tg C yr-1 (Huang and Asner, 2010) which increased anthropogenic C emissions by almost 25% over deforestation alone (Asner et al., 2005). In contrast to deforested areas that are used for agriculture and grazing, most selectively logged forests remain as forested areas (Asner et al., 2006) and may recover C stocks (West et al., 2014). Previously logged Amazonian forests may thus accumulate large amounts of C (Pan et al., 2011), but this C uptake is difficult to accurately estimate, because while detecting selective logging from space is increasingly feasible (Frolking et al., 2009) (even if very few of the IPCC models effectively account for logging), directly quantifying forest recovery remains challenging (Asner et al., 2009; Houghton et al., 2012; Goetz et al., 2015). Studies based on field measurements (e.g. Sist and Ferreira, 2007; Blanc et al., 2009; West et al., 2014; Vidal et al., 2016), sometimes coupled with modeling approaches (e.g. Gourlet-Fleury et al., 2005; Valle et al., 2007) or airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) measurements (e.g. Andersen et al., 2014) have assessed post-logging dynamics at particular sites. Nonetheless, to our knowledge no spatially-explicit investigation of post-logging C dynamics at the Amazon biome scale is available. C losses from selective logging are determined by harvest intensity (i.e. number of trees felled or volume of wood extracted) plus the care with which harvest operations are conducted, which affects the amount of collateral damage. After logging, C losses continue for several years due to elevated mortality rates of trees injured during harvesting operations (Shenkin et al., 2015). Logged forests may recover their aboveground carbon stocks (ACS) via enhanced growth of survivors and recruited trees (Blanc et al., 2009). Full recovery of pre-disturbance ACS in logged stands reportedly requires up to 125 years, depending primarily on disturbance intensity (Rutishauser et al., 2015). The underlying recovery processes (i.e. tree mortality, growth and recruitment) are likely to vary with the clear geographical patterns in forest structure and dynamics across the Amazon Basin and Guiana Shield. In particular, northeast-southwest gradients have been reported for ACS (Malhi and Wright, 2004), net primary productivity (Aragão et al., 2009), wood density (Baker et al., 2004), and floristic composition (ter Steege et al., 2006). Such gradients coincide with climate and edaphic conditions that range from nearly a seasonal nutrient-limited in the northeast to seasonally dry and nutrient-rich in the southwest (Quesada et al., 2012). These regional differences in biotic and abiotic conditions largely constrain demographic processes that ultimately shape forest C balances. Here we partition the contributions to post-disturbance ACS gain (from growth and recruitment of trees ≥20 cm DBH) and ACS loss (from mortality) of survivors and recruited trees to detect the main drivers and patterns of ACS recovery in forests disturbed by selective logging across Amazonia sensu lato (that includes the Amazon Basin and the Guiana Shield). Based on long-term (8–30 year) inventory data from 13 experimentally-disturbed sites (Sist et al., 2015) across Amazonia (Figure 1—figure supplement 1), 133 permanent forest plots (175 ha in total) that cover a large gradient of disturbance intensities (ACS losses ranging from 1% to 71%) were used to model the trajectory of those post-disturbance ACS changes (Figure 1) in a comprehensive Bayesian framework. We quantify the effect of pre-disturbance ecosystem characteristics [the site’s average pre-logging ACS (a⁢c⁢s⁢0) and the relative difference between each plot and a⁢c⁢s⁢0 as a proxy of forest maturity (d⁢a⁢c⁢s)], disturbance intensity [percentage of pre-logging ACS lost (l⁢o⁢s⁢s)], and interactions with the environment [annual precipitation (p⁢r⁢e⁢c), seasonality of precipitation (s⁢e⁢a⁢s), and soil bulk density (b⁢d)] (Figure 2) on the rates at which post-disturbance ACS changes converge to a theoretical steady state (as in Figure 1, see Materials and methods for more details). With global maps of ACS (Avitabile et al., 2016), climatic conditions (Hijmans et al., 2005) and soil bulk density (Nachtergaele et al., 2008), we up-scale our results to Amazonia (sensu lato) and elaborate predictive maps of potential ACS changes over 10 years under the hypothesis of a 40% ACS loss, which is a common disturbance intensity after conventional logging in Amazonia (Blanc et al., 2009; Martin et al., 2015; West et al., 2014). Summing these ACS changes over time gives the net post-disturbance rate of ACS accumulation. Disentangling ACS recovery into demographic processes and cohorts is essential to reveal mechanisms underlying ACS responses to disturbance and to make more robust predictions of ACS recovery compared to an all-in-one approach (see Appendix). Figure 1 with 1 supplement see all Download asset Open asset Post-disturbance annual ACS changes of survivors and recruits in 133 Amazonian selectively logged plots. Data is available between the year of minimum ACS (t=0) and t=30 years. ACS changes are: recruits’ ACS growth (orange), recruits’ ACS loss (gold), new recruits’ ACS (red), survivors’ ACS growth (light green) and survivors’ ACS loss (dark green). Thick solid lines are the maximum-likelihood predictions (for an average plot, when all covariates are null), and dashed lines are the model theoretical behaviour. New recruits’ ACS, recruits’ ACS growth, and recruits’ ACS loss converge over time to constant values. A dynamic equilibrium is then reached: ACS gain from recruitment and recruits’ growth compensate ACS loss from recruits’ mortality. Survivors’ ACS growth and loss. decline over time and tend to zero when all initial survivors have died. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.003 Figure 2 with 1 supplement see all Download asset Open asset Effect of covariates on the rate at which post-disturbance ACS changes converge to a theoretical steady state (in yr-1). Covariates are : disturbance intensity (l⁢o⁢s⁢s) , i.e. the proportion of initial ACS loss; mean site’s ACS (a⁢c⁢s⁢0), and relative forest maturity, i.e. pre-logging plot ACS as a % of a⁢c⁢s⁢0 (d⁢a⁢c⁢s); annual precipitation (p⁢r⁢e⁢c); seasonality of precipitation (s⁢e⁢a⁢s), soil bulk density (b⁢d). Covariates are centred and standardized. Red and black levels are 80% and 95% credible intervals, respectively. The median rate is the prediction of the convergence rate for an average plot (when all covariates are set to zero). Negative covariate values indicate slowing and positive values indicate accelerating rates. (a) Survivors’ ACS growth. (b) New recruits’ ACS. (c) Recruits’ ACS growth. (d) Survivors’ ACS loss. (e) Recruits’ ACS loss. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.005 Figure 2—source data 1 Parameters posterior distribution. Columns are the 2.5%, 10%, 50%, 90% and 97.5% quantiles of the posterior distribution of the model parameters (rows). https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.006 Download elife-21394-fig2-data1-v2.xlsx Results Local variations of ACS changes At a given site, variations of post-logging ACS changes are explained with the disturbance intensity (l⁢o⁢s⁢s) and the relative forest maturity (d⁢a⁢c⁢s). At high disturbance intensity (positive l⁢o⁢s⁢s) as well as in relatively immature forests (negative d⁢a⁢c⁢s), ACS gain from recruits is high: recruitment decreases slowly (Figure 2b and Figure 3b) and recruits’ growth increases rapidly (Figure 2c and Figure 3c). In the same conditions of high disturbance intensity, survivors’ ACS growth is lower in the first years following logging than for low disturbance intensities, but declines slowly (Figure 2a and Figure 3a). Disturbance intensity and relative forest maturity have a weak effect on ACS loss from both survivors and recruits (Figures 2d,e and 3d,e). Overall, net ACS change stays high longer at high disturbance intensity (Figure 3f). Figure 3 Download asset Open asset Predicted effect of disturbance intensity on ACS changes along time in an Amazonian-average plot. (a) Survivors’ ACS growth. (b) New recruits’ ACS. (c) Recruits’ ACS growth. (d) Survivors’ ACS loss. (e) Recruits’ ACS loss. (f) Net ACS change. The net ACS change is the sum of all five ACS changes. ACS changes were calculated with all parameters set to their maximum-likelihood value and covariates (except standardized disturbance intensity l⁢o⁢s⁢s) set to 0. Time since minimum ACS varies from 0 to 30 year (i.e. the calibration interval) and disturbance intensity ranges between 5% and 60% of initial ACS loss. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.008 Regional variations of ACS changes Variations of post-logging ACS changes between sites are explained with the mean ACS of each site (a⁢c⁢s⁢0), climatic conditions [annual precipitation (p⁢r⁢e⁢c), seasonality of precipitation (s⁢e⁢a⁢s)] and the soil bulk density (b⁢d). Contribution of survivors’ growth to ACS recovery declined slowly in sites with low a⁢c⁢s⁢0 and high water stress (low precipitation, high seasonality and high bulk density) (Figure 2a). Survivors’ ACS loss showed the opposite pattern (Figure 2d) except in apparent response to high seasonality of precipitation (s⁢e⁢a⁢s) that slowed the post-disturbance rates of decline of both ACS growth and loss. Despite slower recruits’ ACS growth in sites with high pre-logging ACS (a⁢c⁢s⁢0), no other regional covariate had significant effects on recruits’ ACS changes (Figure 2b,c and e). Prediction maps While no significant environmental effects were detected for recruits’ ACS changes (Figures 2 and 4), the survivors showed a highly structured regional gradient: (i) ACS gain from survivors’ ACS growth is high in the west and in the Guiana Shield, but low in the south (Figure 4a), whereas (ii) survivors’ ACS loss is low in the south and in the Guiana Shield but high in the west (Figure 4d). To illustrate how these regional differences will be critical for future ACS across Amazonia, we developed a map of net ACS recovery over the first 10 years after a 40% ACS loss by integrating the sum of ACS change predictions through time (Figure 5). Across the region, net ACS recovery over the first ten years after a 40% ACS loss is predicted to be 17 ± 7 Mg C ha-1, with higher values in the west and in the Guiana Shield (Figure 5a). The uncertainty in predictions was low to medium (coefficient of variation under 40%) in 82% of the mapped area, and high (coefficient of variation above 50%) in 5% of the mapped area (Figure 5b). Figure 4 Download asset Open asset Predicted cumulative ACS changes (Mg C ha−1) over the first 10 year after losing 40% of ACS. Extrapolation was based on global rasters: topsoil bulk density from the Harmonized global soil database (Nachtergaele et al., 2008), Worldclim precipitation data (Hijmans et al., 2005) and biomass stocks from Avitabile et al. map (Avitabile et al., 2016). Cumulative ACS changes are obtained by integrating annual ACS changes through time. We here show the median of each pixel. Top graphs are ACS gain and bottom graphs are ACS loss. (a) ACS gain from survivors’ growth. (b) ACS gain from new recruits. (c) ACS gain from recruits’ growth. (d) ACS loss from survivors’ mortality. (e) ACS loss from recruits’ mortality. Black dots are the location of our experimental sites. Survivors’ ACS changes (a and d) show strong regional variations unlike to recruits’ ACS changes (b,c and e). https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.009 Figure 5 Download asset Open asset Predicted net ACS recovery over the first 10 year after losing 40% of pre-logging ACS. (a) median predictions. (b) coefficient of variation (per pixel). Four areas were arbitrarily chosen to illustrate four different geographical behaviours: (1) the Guiana Shield and (2) northwestern Amazonia are two areas with high ACS recovery; the Guiana Shield has higher initial ACS and slower ACS dynamics whereas northwestern Amazonia has lower initial ACS and faster ACS dynamics. (3) central Amazonia has intermediate ACS recovery. (4) southern Amazonia has low ACS recovery. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.010 Four areas (Figure 5a) were selected to represent four contrasted cases of net ACS recovery in time (Figure 6): two areas, northwestern Amazonia and the Guiana Shield, with high ACS accumulation (21 ± 3 Mg C ha-1 over 10 year), one intermediate area, central Amazonia (15 ± 1 Mg C ha-1 over 10 year) and one area with low ACS accumulation, southern Amazonia (12 ± 3 Mg C ha-1 over 10 year). Survivors’ contribution to the sum of ACS gains (recruitment and growth) over the first 10 years after disturbance was 71 ± 4% in the Guiana Shield, 71 ± 2% in the west; 63 ± 4% in central Amazonia and 55 ± 6% in the south. Predicted net ACS recovery (Figure 5) and survivors’ ACS growth (Figure 4a) are highly correlated: ρ=0.90 (Pearson’s correlation coefficient). Figure 6 Download asset Open asset Predicted contribution of annual ACS changes in ACS recovery in four regions of Amazonia (Figure 5). The white line is the net annual ACS recovery, i.e. the sum of all annual ACS changes. Survivors’ (green) and recruits’ (orange) contribution are positive for ACS gains (survivors’ ACS growth, new recruits’ ACS and recruits’ ACS growth) and negative for survivors’ and recruits’ ACS loss. Areas with higher levels of transparency and dotted lines are out of the calibration period (0–30 year). In the Guiana Shield and in nothwestern Amazonia, high levels of net ACS recovery are explained by large ACS gain from survivors’ growth. Extrapolation was based on global rasters: topsoil bulk density from the Harmonized global soil database (Nachtergaele et al., 2008), precipitation data from Worldclim (Hijmans et al., 2005) and biomass stocks from Avitabile et al. (Avitabile et al., 2016) map. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.21394.011 Discussion Contrasting post-disturbance ACS dynamics were detected among the western Amazon, Guiana Shield, and southern Amazon (Figure 4). (i) In the western Amazon, environmental stress is reduced due to fertile soils and abundant, mostly non-seasonal precipitation, but forests are prone to frequent and sometimes large-scale wind-induced disturbances (Espírito-Santo et al., 2014). Such conditions of low stress and high disturbance tend to favor fast-growing species with rapid life cycles (He et al., 2013), which results in fast ACS gain and loss from survivors even after the logging disturbance (Figures 4a,d and 6). (ii) Forests of the Guiana Shield are generally dense and grow on nutrient-poor soils (Quesada et al., 2012), where wood productivity is highly constrained by competition for key nutrients, especially phosphorus and nitrogen (Santiago, 2015; Mercado et al., 2011). The short duration pulse of nutrients released from readily decomposed stems, twigs and leaves of trees damaged and killed by logging may thus explain the substantial but limited-duration increase in growth of survivors on these nutrient-poor soils (Figure 6). Yet post-disturbance ACS loss from survivors’ mortality decreases slowly in the Guiana Shield (Figure 6). This is consistent with the low mortality rates and the high tree longevity reported in old-growth forests of this region (Phillips et al., 2004). (iii) In the southern Amazon, high seasonal water stress is the main constraint on ACS recovery (Wagner et al., 2016). Stress-tolerant trees are generally poor competitors (He et al., 2013) and this may explain the slow ACS changes of survivors in this region (Figures 4a,d and 6). Finally, Central Amazonia is a transition zone for the main environmental and biotic gradients found in Amazonia: (1) a competition gradient between dense and nutrient-poor northeastern forests and nutrient-rich western forests; (2) an environmental gradient between northern wet forests and southern drier forests (Quesada et al., 2012). Across Amazonia, survivors contribute most to post-disturbance ACS recovery. In regions where survivors’ ACS gain is high (west and northeast), net ACS recovery is also high: annual ACS recovery is between 1 and 3 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 in the first 10 year after logging (Figure 6), lower than in Amazonian secondary forests (3–5 Mg C ha-1 yr−1 in the first year after of et al., for their have very low geographical variations in post-logging ACS 10 years after the disturbance are predicted to amounts of ACS almost in Amazonia. trees with cm have not been for in our and may play an important role in post-logging ACS changes. The cm as much as of total ACS and may be highly dynamic in Amazonian forests et al., 2004). of the slow tree growth rates in Amazonia et al., 2005; et al., trees will not the cm 10 years after the effects of the cm on post-logging ACS changes are likely to be in sites with less than 10 years of measurements (e.g. and be with the in the At the high disturbance intensities survivors’ survivors’ ACS growth is lower (Figure in lower net ACS change during the first 10 years of the recovery period (Figure 3f). disturbance intensities as well as relatively low forest maturity and this is ACS contributions from recruits remain high for longer (Figure in such enhanced growth conditions et al., In the first years after logging, net ACS recovery on disturbance intensity (Figure but recovery is predicted to longer in logged In immature et al., may explain fast ACS losses from survivors’ mortality (Figure In the logging et al., are to collateral to stands and results reveal that lower disturbance intensities, as a of the of increase survivors’ ACS growth and slow their ACS loss. that minimum cycles are year in the Brazilian Amazon et al., 2011), and that commercial species are and et al., 2005; et al., available stocks for the next will be mostly of be to high harvest intensities substantial due to poor harvesting that stocks of even if trees that are fast-growing that are by disturbance but are to water stress et al., 2016) and competition and 2008), and because their is lower than in forests (Rutishauser et al., 2016), have reduced carbon With climate change and increased and intensities of in Amazonia (Malhi et al., 2008), on recruits to C in forests disturbed by selective logging thus be a In this we on one of selective of value and for forest selective logging is a human disturbance in tropical and the data by the network are in of duration and We that our gives on the regional differences in Amazonian forests response to large ACS losses by other disturbances (e.g. that are to increase in with global changes et al., 2016). Materials and methods a includes data from long-term (8–30 year) experimental forest sites in the Amazon Basin and the Guiana Shield (Figure 1—figure supplement the following (i) in tropical forests with mean annual precipitation above (ii) a total area above 1 (iii) at one pre-logging and at two post-logging For each site, we annual precipitation and seasonality of precipitation data from (Hijmans et al., topsoil bulk density data from the Harmonized database (Nachtergaele et al., 2008), and the climatic from et al. et al., in all cases the data available For one of our sites see Figure 1—figure supplement 1), field measurements of precipitation from data in this particular we used the value and the climatic in the et al., 2014) data is available at et al., 2016). ACS a In all at of trees cm were and trees were to the to the species when or to the of trees were not To the wood we the following standardized to all (i) trees to the species were the wood value from the et al., (ii) trees to the were a wood (iii) trees with no or that were not in the were the wood The aboveground biomass was with the from et al. et al., 2014). was to be carbon et al., The ACS of tree was then as (1) where and are the wood density and at of the tree and is the climatic et al., 2014). The ACS changes data that was is available at et al., 2016). The recovery period a After logging, plot ACS decreases rapidly it minimum value a few years This transition the of the recovery was as the minimum ACS in the 4 years following logging our is on post-logging ACS recovery, we not in our plots where the minimum ACS value was not the 4 years after logging, because the logging not affect the plot or because were other of disturbance long after logging ACS changes a For each plot and with the time since the of the recovery period we 5 ACS changes : new recruits’ ACS is the ACS of all trees cm at and ≥20 cm at recruits’ ACS growth is the ACS of recruits between and recruits’ ACS loss is the C in recruits that between and survivors’ ACS growth is the ACS of survivors between and survivors’ ACS loss is the ACS of survivors that between and ACS gains are positive and ACS losses are ACS changes are to variation over because we are less in variations than in long-term ACS we cumulative ACS changes of annual ACS changes. Cumulative ACS changes (Mg C ha-1) were as (2) where is the plot, the time since and is the annual ACS change (Mg C ha-1 recruits’ ACS recruits’ ACS growth recruits’ ACS loss survivors’ ACS growth or survivors’ ACS loss Covariates a To model ACS we covariates : (1) disturbance intensity, i.e. of initial ACS loss; (2) a⁢c⁢s⁢0 mean ACS of the (3) relative ACS of the plot, as a % of (4) annual precipitation topsoil bulk To equivalent to all we centred and standardized in to have a mean of zero and a of one over all The uncertainty with ACS covariates is less than et al., 2014). covariates precipitation and precipitation seasonality were
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    Carbon recovery dynamics following disturbance by selective logging in Amazonian forests
    (eLife Sciences Publications Ltd, 2016) Camille Piponiot; Plínio Sist; Lucas Mazzei; Marielos Peña‐Claros; Francis E. Putz; Ervan Rutishauser; Alexander Shenkin; Nataly Ascarrunz; C. P. de Azevedo; Christopher Baraloto
    When 2 Mha of Amazonian forests are disturbed by selective logging each year, more than 90 Tg of carbon (C) is emitted to the atmosphere. Emissions are then counterbalanced by forest regrowth. With an original modelling approach, calibrated on a network of 133 permanent forest plots (175 ha total) across Amazonia, we link regional differences in climate, soil and initial biomass with survivors' and recruits' C fluxes to provide Amazon-wide predictions of post-logging C recovery. We show that net aboveground C recovery over 10 years is higher in the Guiana Shield and in the west (21 ±3 Mg C ha-1) than in the south (12 ±3 Mg C ha-1) where environmental stress is high (low rainfall, high seasonality). We highlight the key role of survivors in the forest regrowth and elaborate a comprehensive map of post-disturbance C recovery potential in Amazonia.
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    Connectivity and Resilience: A Multidimensional Analysis of Infrastructure Impacts in the Southwestern Amazon
    (Springer Science+Business Media, 2011) Stephen G. Perz; Alexander Shenkin; Grenville Barnes; Liliana Cabrera; Lucas Araújo Carvalho; Jorge Castillo
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    Fates of trees damaged by logging in Amazonian Bolivia
    (Elsevier BV, 2015) Alexander Shenkin; Benjamin M. Bolker; Marielos Peña‐Claros; Juan Carlos Licona; Francis E. Putz
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    Interactive effects of tree size, crown exposure and logging on drought-induced mortality
    (Royal Society, 2018) Alexander Shenkin; Benjamin M. Bolker; Marielos Peña‐Claros; Juan Carlos Licona; Nataly Ascarrunz; Francis E. Putz
    Large trees in the tropics are reportedly more vulnerable to droughts than their smaller neighbours. This pattern is of interest due to what it portends for forest structure, timber production, carbon sequestration and multiple other values given that intensified El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of droughts in the Amazon region. What remains unclear is what characteristics of large trees render them especially vulnerable to drought-induced mortality and how this vulnerability changes with forest degradation. Using a large-scale, long-term silvicultural experiment in a transitional Amazonian forest in Bolivia, we disentangle the effects of stem diameter, tree height, crown exposure and logging-induced degradation on risks of drought-induced mortality during the 2004/2005 ENSO event. Overall, tree mortality increased in response to drought in both logged and unlogged plots. Tree height was a much stronger predictor of mortality than stem diameter. In unlogged plots, tree height but not crown exposure was positively associated with drought-induced mortality, whereas in logged plots, neither tree height nor crown exposure was associated with drought-induced mortality. Our results suggest that, at the scale of a site, hydraulic factors related to tree height, not air humidity, are a cause of elevated drought-induced mortality of large trees in unlogged plots. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘The impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial tropical carbon cycle: patterns, mechanisms and implications'.
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    Private and communal lands? The ramifications of ambiguous resource tenure and regional integration in Northern Bolivia
    (Utrecht University Library Open Access Journals (Publishing Services), 2014) Stephen G. Perz; Grenville Barnes; Alexander Shenkin; Daniel Rojas; Carlos E. Vaca
    Major integration initiatives such as large-scale infrastructure projects are moving forward in Latin America, creating the conditions theorized by the ‘evolutionary theory of land rights’ (ETLR) for the shift from communal to private individual tenure. This however assumes a clear distinction between communal and private individual tenure that avoids ambiguities such as those arising from contrasts between de jure tenure rights and de facto practices. We take up these issues by focusing on northern Bolivia, an ambiguous case because groups of families with individual land claims recently received communal titles as ‘independent communities’. This has occurred in areas near a major market integration initiative, the Inter-Oceanic Highway, which has recently been paved. We draw on a survey of households in putatively communal lands in northern Bolivia to evaluate the claims of the ETLR concerning regional integration and formalization of private claims and its consequences. We find evidence of practices consistent with private individual tenure, but they are not related to market integration. Further, indications of formalization of private individual rights do not lead to the outcomes anticipated by the ETLR. These findings call for additional comparative work on integration and tenure.
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    The Tropical managed Forests Observatory: a research network addressing the future of tropical logged forests
    (Wiley, 2014) Plínio Sist; Ervan Rutishauser; Marielos Peña‐Claros; Alexander Shenkin; Bruno Hérault; Lilian Blanc; Christopher Baraloto; Fidèle Baya; Fabrice Bénédet; Kátia Emídio da Silva
    Abstract While attention on logging in the tropics has been increasing, studies on the long‐term effects of silviculture on forest dynamics and ecology remain scare and spatially limited. Indeed, most of our knowledge on tropical forests arises from studies carried out in undisturbed tropical forests. This bias is problematic given that logged and disturbed tropical forests are now covering a larger area than the so‐called primary forests. A new network of permanent sample plots in logged forests, the Tropical managed Forests Observatory (Tm FO ), aims to fill this gap by providing unprecedented opportunities to examine long‐term data on the resilience of logged tropical forests at regional and global scales. Tm FO currently includes 24 experimental sites distributed across three tropical regions, with a total of 490 permanent plots and 921 ha of forest inventories.
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    Trans-boundary infrastructure, access connectivity, and household land use in a tri-national frontier in the Southwestern Amazon
    (Taylor & Francis, 2014) Stephen G. Perz; Andrea Chavez; Rosa E. Cossío; Jeffrey Hoelle; Flávia Leite; Karla da Silva Rocha; Rafael O. Rojas; Alexander Shenkin; Lucas Araújo Carvalho; Jorge Castillo
    The land science literature has consistently documented the importance of infrastructure for land use. Less attention has gone to land use around national borders receiving trans-boundary infrastructure upgrades for cross-border integration. We take up the case of the Inter-Oceanic Highway, a trans-boundary road being paved in the tri-national ‘MAP’ frontier of the southwestern Amazon. We draw on a tri-national survey of households in rural communities across the MAP frontier to evaluate the effects of access connectivity on land use. At the time of fieldwork, paving was complete in Acre/Brazil, underway in Madre de Dios/Peru, and planned in Pando/Bolivia. This permits a tri-national comparative analysis. The results confirm different effects of access connectivity on land use by paving status; further, they also document cross-border processes stemming from trans-boundary infrastructure that affect land use. The findings call for more attention to the impacts of regional integration initiatives on landscapes.

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