Browsing by Autor "Maynor Cabrera"

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    Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala
    (Cambridge University Press, 2018) Renato Vargas; Maynor Cabrera; Martín Cicowiez; Pamela Escobar; Violeta Carrasco Hernández; Javier Cabrera; Vivian Guzmán
    Abstract In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the effects of drought and a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by climate change in Guatemala. A reduction in agricultural productivity would mean a considerable drop in crop and livestock production, and the resulting higher prices and lower household income would mean a significant reduction in the consumption of agricultural goods and food. The most negative effects of a drought would be concentrated in agriculture, given its intensive use of water. Because agricultural production is essential to ensuring food availability, these results suggest that Guatemala needs a proper water-distribution regulatory framework.