Browsing by Autor "Mounu Prem"
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Item type: Item , Replication Data for: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement(Harvard University, 2021) Mounu Prem; Juan F. Vargas; Daniel MejíaPrem, Mounu, Vargas, Juan F., and Mejía, Daniel, (2023) “The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement.” Review of Economics and Statistics 105:2, 344–358.Item type: Item , The Limits of Hegemony: U.S. Banks and Chilean Firms in the Cold War(2022) Felipe Aldunate; Felipe González; Mounu PremGovernments in hegemonic states use economic sanctions to induce changes in other countries. What happens to international business networks when these sanctions are in place? We use new historical firm-level data to document the destruction of financial relations between U.S. banks and Chilean firms after socialist Salvador Allende took office in 1970. Business reports and stock prices suggest that firms were mostly unaffected by having fewer links with U.S. banks. Substitution of financial relations towards domestic banks appears to be the key mechanism explaining these findings.Item type: Item , The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement(The MIT Press, 2021) Mounu Prem; Juan F. Vargas; Daniel MejíaAbstract Policies based on prohibition and repression to fight the war on drugs have largely failed in a variety of contexts. However, incentive-based policies may also fail and have unintended negative consequences if policymakers do not properly anticipate behavioral reactions. This is an particularly important concern in the case of policies announced prior to their implementation. In this paper, we show that a naive and untimely policy announcement generated an unprecedented escalation in cocaine production in Colombia, offsetting almost 20 years and billions of dollars of U.S.-backed efforts to stop drug production and cartel action.Item type: Item , The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement(2020) Mounu Prem; Juan F. Vargas; Daniel MejíaPolicies based on prohibition and repression to fight the war on drugs have largely failed in a variety of contexts. However, incentive-based policies may also fail and have unintended negative consequences if policymakers do not properly anticipate behavioral reactions. This is a particularly important concern in the case of policies announced prior to their implementation. In this paper, we show that a naive and untimely policy announcement generated an unprecedented escalation in cocaine production in Colombia, offsetting almost 20 years and billions of dollars of U.S.-backed efforts to stop drug production and cartel action.