Factores determinantes de la exportación de palta en Perú, 2008-2020
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Rev. Inv. Cs. Agro. y Vet.
Abstract
La palta al ser uno de los productos con una creciente demanda en el mercado internacional en los últimos años, mostró un comportamiento favorable en el volumen de producción y su exportación estuvo sujeto al comportamiento de las variables del comercio internacional; el objetivo de la investigación fue identificar los factores que determinan a las exportaciones de la palta en Perú durante el período 2008 - 2020, mediante el tipo de investigación correlacional-causal, con información del Ministerio de Agricultura y Riego, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, Superintendencia Nacional de Aduanas y de Administración Tributaria, Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática y la base de datos de COMTRADE de la ONU, aplicando el modelo de regresión lineal múltiple y enfoque de cointegración. Los factores que determinan a las exportaciones de la palta son la producción nacional y el precio promedio de la palta, las mismas que estas explican en 76.27% a las exportaciones de la palta; se estableció que no existe una relación en el largo plazo de los factores determinantes con la exportación de dicho producto.
The avocado, being one of the products with a growing demand in the international market in recent years, showed a favorable behavior in the volume of production and its export was subject to the behavior of international trade variables; The objective of the research was to identify the factors that determine avocado exports in Peru during the period 2008 - 2020, through a correlational-causal type of research, with information from the Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, Central Reserve Bank of Peru, National Superintendence of Customs and Tax Administration, National Institute of Statistics and Informatics and the UN COMTRADE database, applying the multiple linear regression model and cointegration approach. The factors that determine avocado exports are national production and the average price of avocado, which explain 76.27% of avocado exports; it was established that there is no long-term relationship between the determining factors and avocado exports.
The avocado, being one of the products with a growing demand in the international market in recent years, showed a favorable behavior in the volume of production and its export was subject to the behavior of international trade variables; The objective of the research was to identify the factors that determine avocado exports in Peru during the period 2008 - 2020, through a correlational-causal type of research, with information from the Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, Central Reserve Bank of Peru, National Superintendence of Customs and Tax Administration, National Institute of Statistics and Informatics and the UN COMTRADE database, applying the multiple linear regression model and cointegration approach. The factors that determine avocado exports are national production and the average price of avocado, which explain 76.27% of avocado exports; it was established that there is no long-term relationship between the determining factors and avocado exports.
Description
Vol. 6, No. 18