Graphing and measuring covid’s first wave impact on the Bolivian economy

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dc.contributor.authorBarja Daza, Gover
dc.coverage.spatialBolivia
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-22T13:46:02Z
dc.date.available2026-03-22T13:46:02Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractThe Bolivian monthly index of economic activity along with ARMA models are used in an attempt to graph and measure the impact of Covid’s pandemic on the Bolivian economy. The accumulated difference between the observed and counterfactual values show an overall 12.6% loss of economic activity in the 10 months from February to November 2020 of the first Covid wave, with a tilted W-shape short-run recovery just before the beginning of the second wave in December 2020. Breakdown into the twelve Bolivian economic sectors show wide heterogeneity in depth of impact and speeds of recovery during the same period.
dc.identifier.urihttps://andeanlibrary.org/handle/123456789/42598
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversidad Católica Boliviana "San Pablo". IISEC.
dc.sourceUniversidad Católica Boliviana
dc.subjectEconomía
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectInterrupted time series analysis
dc.subjectARMA-GARCH models
dc.subjectBolivia
dc.titleGraphing and measuring covid’s first wave impact on the Bolivian economy
dc.typeArticle

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