Teoría del Caos Aplicada a Series Temporales de Siniestralidad en Seguros (El Caso boliviano 1975-2020)

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to determine if the Insurance Claims in Bolivia is characterized as a random series par excellence (as the classical theory establishes), or if such characteristics correspond to processes explained mainly by Chaos Theory. For this, various classical statistical tests have been used, as well as those specifically designed to test chaotic characteristics such as fractal analysis and the presence of attractors. According to the results, it shows that the Insurance Claims in Bolivia, in the study period, meets the necessary and sufficient conditions to affirm that they come from a chaotic order with a single attractor.