¿Convergencia beta, sigma y distribucional en desarrollo humano? Evidencia de las regiones metropolitanas de Bolivia
Abstract
Más de la mitad de la población de Bolivia vive en las regiones metropolitanas de La Paz, Santa Cruz y Cochabamba. Motivado por el potencial de desarrollo de estas regiones, este artículo evalúa el proceso de convergencia regional en desarrollo humano a través de tres análisis de convergencia: beta, sigma y convergencia distribucional. El resultado general resalta un incremento en la velocidad de convergencia que está determinado conjuntamente por la movilidad relativa hacia delante de las regiones menos desarrolladas y por la movilidad relativa hacia atrás de las regiones más desarrolladas. Adicionalmente, el análisis de convergencia distribucional indica que la formación de múltiples clusters de convergencia es una característica saliente del proceso de reducción de desigualdades. En el largo plazo, la convergencia parece estar caracterizada por la transformación de una distribución trimodal a una distribución unimodal sesgada a la izquierda. Este último resultado implica que las regiones menos desarrolladas están todavía relativamente lejos de alcanzar una convergencia completa en desarrollo humano.
Almost half of the population of Bolivia lives in the metropolitan regions of La Paz, Santa Cruz, and Cochabamba. Motivated by the development potential of these regions, this paper evaluates the process of regional convergence in human development through the lens of three frameworks: beta, sigma, and distributional convergence. The overall result highlights an increase in the speed of convergence that is driven by both relative forward mobility of the less developed regions and relative backward mobility of the more developed regions. Additionally, the distributional convergence framework indicates that the formation of multiple convergence clusters is a salient feature of inequality reduction. In the long-run, convergence appears to be characterized by the transformation of a trimodal distribution into a left-skewed unimodal distribution. This last result implies that the least developed regions are still relatively far from achieving complete convergence in human development.
Almost half of the population of Bolivia lives in the metropolitan regions of La Paz, Santa Cruz, and Cochabamba. Motivated by the development potential of these regions, this paper evaluates the process of regional convergence in human development through the lens of three frameworks: beta, sigma, and distributional convergence. The overall result highlights an increase in the speed of convergence that is driven by both relative forward mobility of the less developed regions and relative backward mobility of the more developed regions. Additionally, the distributional convergence framework indicates that the formation of multiple convergence clusters is a salient feature of inequality reduction. In the long-run, convergence appears to be characterized by the transformation of a trimodal distribution into a left-skewed unimodal distribution. This last result implies that the least developed regions are still relatively far from achieving complete convergence in human development.
Description
No. 30