Aportes del paradigma neoestructuralista al análisis del desarrollo agrícola de Bolivia
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Perspectivas
Abstract
En las últimas décadas la intervención del Estado en Bolivia se ha expresado en políticas económicas, que tuvieron diversas consecuencias en los sectores productivos. Uno de los sectores afectados es el sector agrícola tradicional, que a su vez comprende un importante sector de economía campesina. Se tiene el objetivo -para el período 1974-93- de detectar la incidencia de los rendimientos, la tasa de interés, el tipo de cambio, el precio del producto, el precio del insumo principal y la tasa de inflación; sobre la producción de papa a nivel nacional. La hipótesis formulada es que el Estado, a través de su política económica influyó desfavorablemente en la producción de este cultivo. Se ha adoptado para el análisis el paradigma neoestructuralista; que afirma que en el desarrollo de la agricultura tradicional está condicionado por variables estructurales y coyunturales; e identifica las variables y el rol que juegan al interior de una situación productiva como la descrita. A través de un modelo de mínimos cuadrados ordinarios (MCO), se llega a detectar para el período 1974-1993, la importancia y rol de las variables independientes; sobre la variable independiente.
In recent decades, the intervention of the State in Bolivia has been expressed in economic policies, which had different consequences in the productive sectors. One of the sector concerned is the industry agricultural traditional, which in turn includes an important sector of the rural economy. The aims - for the period 1974-93-detect the incidence of yields, the rate of interest, the exchange rate, the price of the product, the price of the main input and the rate of inflation; on the production of potato at the national level. The hypothesis is that the State, through its economic policy adversely influenced the production of this crop. Has been adopted for the analysis the neoestructuralist paradigm; He says that in the development of traditional agriculture is conditioned by structural and conjunctural; variables (e) identifies the variables and the role of a productive situation like described inside. Through a model of ordinary least squares (OLS), is detected for the period 1974-1993, the importance and role of the independent variables; on the independent variable.
In recent decades, the intervention of the State in Bolivia has been expressed in economic policies, which had different consequences in the productive sectors. One of the sector concerned is the industry agricultural traditional, which in turn includes an important sector of the rural economy. The aims - for the period 1974-93-detect the incidence of yields, the rate of interest, the exchange rate, the price of the product, the price of the main input and the rate of inflation; on the production of potato at the national level. The hypothesis is that the State, through its economic policy adversely influenced the production of this crop. Has been adopted for the analysis the neoestructuralist paradigm; He says that in the development of traditional agriculture is conditioned by structural and conjunctural; variables (e) identifies the variables and the role of a productive situation like described inside. Through a model of ordinary least squares (OLS), is detected for the period 1974-1993, the importance and role of the independent variables; on the independent variable.
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No. 32