Criminalidad y políticas de seguridad en el Estado de México 1997-2023
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rlde
Abstract
El artículo analiza la evolución y dinámica de la incidencia delictiva en el Estado de México, evaluando gráficamente el impacto de las políticas de seguridad ciudadana que se implementaron durante la administración gubernamental para el periodo 2017-2023. Con este propósito, se aplica el modelo Autorregresivo, Integrado de Promedios Móviles, el cual permite determinar el comportamiento subyacente para una selección de variables o delitos que afectan negativamente a la sociedad mexiquense. El estudio es relevante ya que aprovecha las bases de información disponibles y aplica la metodología mencionada a fin de llevar a cabo un monitoreo y evaluación continuos acerca de las tendencias, así como de las medidas de intervención pública instrumentadas para mitigar el fenómeno delictivo, lo que puede resultar metodológicamente novedoso a nivel nacional, subnacional y local en el caso mexicano, contribuyendo a mejorar la toma de decisiones.
The article analyses the evolution and dynamics of crime incidence in the State of Mexico, graphically evaluating the impact of citizen security policies implemented during the government administration for the period 2017-2023. For this purpose, the Autoregressive, Integrated, Moving Average model is applied, which allows determining the underlying behaviours for a selection of variables or crimes that negatively affect Mexican society The study is relevant because it takes advantage of the available information bases and applies the aforementioned methodology in order to carry out continuous monitoring and evaluation of trends, as well as public intervention measures implemented to mitigate the criminal phenomenon, which may be methodologically novel at the national, subnational and local levels in the Mexican case. contributing to improve decision-making. Clasificación/Classification JEL: C22, D78, H76.
The article analyses the evolution and dynamics of crime incidence in the State of Mexico, graphically evaluating the impact of citizen security policies implemented during the government administration for the period 2017-2023. For this purpose, the Autoregressive, Integrated, Moving Average model is applied, which allows determining the underlying behaviours for a selection of variables or crimes that negatively affect Mexican society The study is relevant because it takes advantage of the available information bases and applies the aforementioned methodology in order to carry out continuous monitoring and evaluation of trends, as well as public intervention measures implemented to mitigate the criminal phenomenon, which may be methodologically novel at the national, subnational and local levels in the Mexican case. contributing to improve decision-making. Clasificación/Classification JEL: C22, D78, H76.
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No. 43