Escenarios futuros de la industria petrolera venezolana PDVSA en un horizonte 2010-2040.
Abstract
Venezuela needs to examine the future trends of the hydrocarbon market,
in order to visualize the changes in the technological configuration, the
security and energy efficiency policies and its role in The Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). A prospective view of the 21st
century PDVSA is examined, within a 2010-2040 horizon. The prospective
method was used as a tool to identify and describe future scenarios. One
of the future effects is the role of renewable energies, the economic growth
derived from technological advances in unconventional gas and oil, and
the alliances between OPEC and non-OPEC countries. Three scenarios
were obtained: economic growth and development; energy efficiency and
environment; geopolitics, and energy security and transition.