Modelo de riesgo competitivo en los "Senior Workers": evidencia del mercado laboral chileno
Abstract
La composición etaria del mercado laboral ha cambiado en las últimas décadas, generando un aumento significativo en los trabajadores mayores de 50 años. En este documento se analizan los patrones dentro del mercado laboral de los trabajadores que se encuentran cerca o en la edad de jubilación, denominados "Senior Workers", ante la presencia de un shock exógeno de destrucción de empleo. Se genera un aporte a la literatura existente para identificar las características de la reinserción laboral hacia distintos vectores de salida de este conjunto de la población. Se utilizaron datos de la Encuesta de Protección Social de los años 2004-2015 de Chile para aplicar el Modelo de Riesgo Competitivo, y se encontró que los desempleados senior tienen menor probabilidad de encontrar un empleo formal que los trabajadores menores de 50 años, y que esto se agudiza a medida que se acercan a los 60-80 años. Se analizaron brechas de género, edad y se realizaron comparaciones con otros modelos de duración.
The age composition of the labor market has changed in recent decades, generating a significant increase in workers over 50 years. This document analyzes the patterns within the labor market of workers who are close to or at retirement age, called "Senior Workers" in the presence of an exogenous shock of job destruction. It generates a contribution to existing literature to identify the characteristics of the labor reintegration towards different exit vectors of this group of the population. Data from the 2004-2015 Social Protection Survey of Chile were used to apply the Competitive Risk Model and it was found that senior unemployed people are less likely to find a formal j ob than workers under 50 years of age and that this is exacerbated as they approach 60-80 years. Gender and age gaps were analyzed, and comparisons were made with other duration models.
The age composition of the labor market has changed in recent decades, generating a significant increase in workers over 50 years. This document analyzes the patterns within the labor market of workers who are close to or at retirement age, called "Senior Workers" in the presence of an exogenous shock of job destruction. It generates a contribution to existing literature to identify the characteristics of the labor reintegration towards different exit vectors of this group of the population. Data from the 2004-2015 Social Protection Survey of Chile were used to apply the Competitive Risk Model and it was found that senior unemployed people are less likely to find a formal j ob than workers under 50 years of age and that this is exacerbated as they approach 60-80 years. Gender and age gaps were analyzed, and comparisons were made with other duration models.
Description
No. 33