Informalidad y movilidad en el mercado laboral: una aproximación de pseudo-panel
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rlde
Abstract
Una de las principales limitaciones del análisis del mercado laboral en los países en desarrollo es la falta de información apropiada de datos de panel. Este documento extiende la metodología de Dang et al, (2014) para examinar la movilidad en el mercado laboral entre los sectores formal e informal en Bolivia y Colombia, construyendo un pseudo-panel consistente a partir de datos de encuestas de corte transversal repetidas. Después de poner a prueba la robustez de la metodología, identificamos los intervalos de confianza de los grupos de movilidad en Bolivia y Colombia (formal a formal, informal a informal, formal a informal e informal a formal). Los resultados proveen evidencia de que en Colombia y Bolivia la movilidad entre los sectores laborales es relativamente baja, lo cual explica la baja variabilidad de la tasa de informalidad en estos países. Los resultados sugieren que el número de personas que se mueven al sector informal tiende a ser más grande que la cantidad de trabajadores que escapan del mercado informal hacia el formal, o por lo menos existe más variabilidad entre años para los primeros. Esto implica que las políticas públicas enfocadas en el mercado laboral en América Latina no llevarían a mejoras significativas si los patrones de movilidad no cambian.
One of the main limitations of labor market analysis in developing countries is the lack of appropriate panel data information. This paper extends the methodology of Dang et al (2014) to examine labor market mobility between the formal and informal sectors in Bolivia and Colombia building consistent pseudo panels from repeated cross-sectional survey data. After testing the robustness of the methodology we identified confidence intervals for mobility's group in Bolivia and Colombia (formal to formal, informal to informal, formal to informal and informal to formal). The results provide evidence that in Bolivia and Colombia mobility between labor sectors is relatively low, which can explain the low variability of the informality rate in those countries. Results suggest that the number of people who move to the informal sector tends to be larger than those who scape from the informal market to the formal, or at least there is more variability across years for the first ones. This implies that public policies focused on labor market in Latin America would not lead to significant improvements if mobility patterns do not change.
One of the main limitations of labor market analysis in developing countries is the lack of appropriate panel data information. This paper extends the methodology of Dang et al (2014) to examine labor market mobility between the formal and informal sectors in Bolivia and Colombia building consistent pseudo panels from repeated cross-sectional survey data. After testing the robustness of the methodology we identified confidence intervals for mobility's group in Bolivia and Colombia (formal to formal, informal to informal, formal to informal and informal to formal). The results provide evidence that in Bolivia and Colombia mobility between labor sectors is relatively low, which can explain the low variability of the informality rate in those countries. Results suggest that the number of people who move to the informal sector tends to be larger than those who scape from the informal market to the formal, or at least there is more variability across years for the first ones. This implies that public policies focused on labor market in Latin America would not lead to significant improvements if mobility patterns do not change.
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No. 27